HAPPY TO RUN DECENT DEEP, BUT SUCKS IT WASN'T DEEPER

 


Like the title said. I came into this playing really well. Even ranked 18th in chip stacks at one point just patiently picking my spots and getting aggressive with the nuts. No stealing for small change. Did really well until the bad beat one hand, where it shows up there in the picture I had Jd-9d to defend my big blind against a min-raise open of 20,000. Flop came Qd-Ts-2d. I led out for 25,000 and dude raised to 70,000. I called, figuring he's on a K-Q, A-Q and that hit he the queen. I had a flush draw and an open-ended straight draw. Turn comes 4d. I led out for 100,000 to a nearly 200K pot and he called. River bricked a 7s. I shove all-in for 1,350,000 and he called for his last 680,000. He peeled over Kd-Td for a better flush.

I got left with less than 10 bigs, which fell down to about 7 bigs. Finally decided to shove Ad-9d on the button and was called by pocket sixes on the big blind, which held. Out in 539 out of a field of 23,373. That's really not that impressive, but I feel bad to have had the patience to withstand and endure the marathon. 

Anyway, so I fed my hand history to this "poker assistant" of some of the online tournaments where I had decent ITM results, just to see what the strengths of my game were. So, according to their analysis.

A. Preflop Profile

Based on the Mini Forty Stack deep run and your other tournaments:

  • VPIP (tourney-wide estimate): mid–high, probably around 25–30%

  • PFR: somewhere 20–24% – you’re aggressive, not passive.

  • 3-bet %: Higher than pool average. You’re not afraid to 3-bet light in the right spots (A8s vs opener, 88 from BTN, 44 from BB etc.).

  • Open-limping: Mostly restricted to:

    • SB in high ICM / endgame spots

    • Some traps or marginal hands
      You’re not a chronic limper; this is fine.

Tendencies by position (endgame):

  • Button (3-handed):

    • You raise a wide, healthy range;

    • You correctly iso weaker stacks and 3-bet pressure from BTN vs blinds.

  • Small Blind (3-handed / HU):

    • You mix limps and raises.

    • You use completes with Q6s, Q7x, JTs, etc. then navigate postflop.

    • You sometimes over-complete hands that could just raise and print versus weaker BBs.

  • Big Blind:

    • You defend appropriately wide vs min-raises in position.

    • You also use jam-over-limp and jam-over-complete very well with mid-strong hands.

B. Postflop Profile

From this HH (and prior ones), your postflop style is:

  • Flop C-bet: High but not crazy.
    You fire a lot when textures favor you (Q-high, K-high, rainbow), and you back off on super-connected, multiway boards.

  • Turn aggression: One of your biggest strengths.
    You:

    • Overbet when ranges are capped

    • Apply pressure when you pick up equity or your range is perceived strong.

  • Check-raise:
    You use it well on flops where:

    • Your range has nutted hands / two pairs / strong draws

    • Villain auto-c-bets with air

  • River aggression:

    • You get max value when you have it (e.g., jam with monster, big bet with boats).

    • You sometimes over-bluff in spots where your story is weak and population is sticky.

C. Psychological / Style Traits (The Intangible Stuff)

The HH gives away quite a lot about you:

  1. You are not scared money.
    You’ll play big pots with non-nutted holdings and are comfortable with volatility.

  2. You read population tendencies well.

    • You punish limps and min-bets.

    • You use sizings that attack fear (big turn overbets, river bombs).

  3. You can get stubborn versus “I block something” hero calls.
    The Q6, T8 river stabs, and JTs call vs shove all hint at the same thing:
    When in doubt, you’d rather be the one putting chips in than folding and being wrong.

This is not a bad baseline for a winning MTT player. You just need a bit more discipline at the edges.

D. Leak Map (Ranked)

Tier 1 – High-Impact Leaks

  1. Calling 3-bet jams too wide (15–25bb).

    • Cost: Large chunks of stack in high-ICM spots.

    • Fix: Use the “always call / sometimes call / never call” rules above.

  2. Over-calling on paired boards / full house spots.

    • Cost: Big pots lost in spots where villain has basically no bluffs.

    • Fix: Commit: “If I can’t name at least 2–3 bluff combos, I fold my marginal boat / top pair.”

Tier 2 – Medium Leaks

  1. River bluffs in population-station spots.

    • You bluff where your line is not credible and villain’s range is strong and sticky.

    • Fix: Require both: believable story + foldable range.

  2. Over-completing from SB with hands that print as open-raises.

    • Slight efficiency leak; you’re strong enough to just raise them and win more.

Tier 3 – Micro Leaks / Tweaks

  1. Occasional over-slowplay.

    • e.g., checking back some strong hands on wet textures where a bet would get called by draws / second-best.

  2. Over-shoves vs tiny stacks.

    • Not “wrong,” just less efficient than min-raising to keep ranges wide.

E. What You’re Already Doing Better Than the Pool

  • BvB and SB vs BB aggression: You are way ahead of the average $4.40 reg here.

  • Understanding capped ranges and attacking them: The Q2s and T8h hands are textbook exploitation.

  • Not tilting after losing a pot: You keep applying pressure after getting cooler’d or outdrawn, which is critical in these big-field, long-run tournaments.




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